Two straws with a K: Where BVB statistically trumps Bayern

How offensively did Nuri Sahin try against Dominator FC Bayern?
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In recent years this duel has often been between the first and second. Which is why it was eventually declared a “classic”. League leaders FC Bayern are currently facing BVB, who are already in fifth place, ten points behind, after eleven match days. Hardly anyone sees Dortmund as serious championship challengers, which Munich may not currently have.

If the top game were to take place in Munich on Saturday evening (6.30 p.m., LIVE! on kicker), the roles would be much more clearly distributed. In Dortmund, the home team, who unlike FCB were able to win each of their six Bundesliga home games, will be able to do more. Statistics alone can determine whose victory is more likely.

Starting with the fact that Bayern are still undefeated overall, while Dortmund have already suffered four defeats, to the discrepancy in goal difference (Bayern +29, Dortmund +4): Almost all the numbers speak in favor of the record champions. But there are also a few that don’t add up when compared directly with the long-standing rival. Statistical straws that the Westphalians can cling to. They are even partly related to each other.

Firstly, there are the goals after counterattacks. BVB has already done four of these, Bayern have only done one. In addition, Borussia was offside for the first time this Bundesliga season (Bayern 17 times), which is helpful in this regard. In addition, Nuri Sahin’s team has only conceded two goals from a transition situation, while FC Bayern have already conceded three.

The second K aspect besides counterattacks: headers. Basically, Dortmund win 54.9 percent of their aerial duels, which means they are at least on par with Munich (54.7). It becomes clearer at the gates. BVB has also been successful per capita four times (Bayern twice), which is partly due to the fact that 20.4 percent of Dortmund’s crosses find their target (Bayern 19.7).

If you imagine the more recent “classic” with Bayern, who are currently so dominant on the ball, you would quickly come to the idea that Dortmund’s best chances come in the transition game and because of the games in which FCB has been beaten – internationally – so far must be looked for according to standards. Also with exactly the aspects that matter to the host on Saturday evening.